{
  "aliases": null,
  "backlinks": [
    {
      "field": "uses",
      "target": "05PWWHYBX5"
    },
    {
      "field": "uses",
      "target": "0XD22PBMWA"
    }
  ],
  "body": "\n## Statement\n\nLet $(\\Omega, \\mathcal{F}, P)$ be a [[probability space|0ZYBZ34RT2]] and let $A, B \\in \\mathcal{F}$ be [[events|00SQGJNRTB]] with $A \\subseteq B$.\nThen $P(A) \\le P(B)$.\nMore precisely, $P(B \\setminus A) = P(B) - P(A)$.\n\n## Remarks\n\nThe proof: $B$ is the disjoint union of $A$ and $B \\setminus A$, so $P(B) = P(A) + P(B \\setminus A)$, and $P(B \\setminus A) \\ge 0$.\nWith $B = \\Omega$, monotonicity gives $P(A) \\le 1$ for each event $A$.\nIf $A$ implies $B$, then $B$ is at least as likely as $A$. For example, \"the die shows $6$\" is at most as likely as \"the die shows an even number\".\n\n## Explanations\n\n### L1 human\n\nA bigger event contains more outcomes, so it cannot be less likely.\nThe chance to draw a heart from a deck is at most the chance to draw a red card, because every heart is red.\n",
  "commit": "545acf83a9b75c8ddc375ef8b23d2ae101a4d7e4",
  "front": {
    "kind": "statement",
    "msc": [
      "60A05"
    ],
    "name": "Monotonicity of probability",
    "role": "proposition",
    "sources": [
      {
        "locator": "Elementary consequences",
        "url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_axioms"
      }
    ],
    "tag": "0464Z0JP2E",
    "uses": [
      "0ZYBZ34RT2",
      "00SQGJNRTB",
      "0FE8Q5S42Y"
    ]
  },
  "kind": "statement",
  "link": "https://math2.tamnd.com/node/0464Z0JP2E/",
  "links": [
    {
      "field": "uses",
      "target": "0ZYBZ34RT2"
    },
    {
      "field": "uses",
      "target": "00SQGJNRTB"
    },
    {
      "field": "uses",
      "target": "0FE8Q5S42Y"
    }
  ],
  "markdown": "https://math2.tamnd.com/node/0464Z0JP2E.md",
  "msc": [
    "60A05"
  ],
  "name": "Monotonicity of probability",
  "prov": null,
  "role": "proposition",
  "source": "https://github.com/tamnd/math2/blob/main/nodes/046/0464Z0JP2E.md",
  "status": null,
  "tag": "0464Z0JP2E",
  "uri": "m2://0464Z0JP2E",
  "url": "https://math2.tamnd.com/wiki/monotonicity-of-probability/",
  "writing": {
    "tag": "0464Z0JP2E",
    "kind": "statement",
    "level": "W0",
    "next": [
      {
        "what": "an inventory row",
        "note": "the row of the inventory that the node accounts for",
        "have": 0,
        "want": 1
      }
    ]
  }
}
