Math 2.0

statement proposition

Mean of the Poisson distribution

Statement

Let λ>0\lambda > 0 and let XX have the Poisson distribution with parameter λ\lambda. Then E[X]=∑k=0∞k e−λλkk!=λ.E[X] = \sum_{k=0}^{\infty} k \, e^{-\lambda} \frac{\lambda^k}{k!} = \lambda.

Remarks

Proof: the term with k=0k = 0 is zero. For k≥1k \ge 1, kλk/k!=λ⋅λk−1/(k−1)!k \lambda^k / k! = \lambda \cdot \lambda^{k-1}/(k-1)!. So the sum is λe−λ∑j≥0λj/j!=λe−λeλ=λ\lambda e^{-\lambda} \sum_{j \ge 0} \lambda^j / j! = \lambda e^{-\lambda} e^{\lambda} = \lambda. The variance of XX is also λ\lambda. So the parameter λ\lambda is the mean number of events.

Explanations

L1 human

The parameter of a Poisson distribution is its average. If a shop gets on average 44 customers per hour, a Poisson model of the number of customers in one hour uses λ=4\lambda = 4.

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Sources

  1. Web https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson_distribution, Descriptive statistics