Math 2.0

Combinatorics Definition

Probabilistic method

Builds on Probability spaceEventExpected value

Definition

Let Ω\Omega be a nonempty finite set of objects and let PP be a property that objects in Ω\Omega may have. A proof by the probabilistic method that some element of Ω\Omega has PP does the following:

  1. It puts a probability measure Pr⁡\Pr on Ω\Omega, making it a probability space.
  2. It shows that the event {ω∈Ω:ω has P}\set{\omega \in \Omega : \omega \text{ has } P} has positive probability.
  3. It concludes that this event is nonempty, so some element of Ω\Omega has PP.

A common form of step 2 uses a random variable XX on Ω\Omega: if the expected value satisfies 𝔼[X]≥t\mathbb{E}[X] \ge t, then X(ω)≥tX(\omega) \ge t for some ω\omega.

Remarks

Erdős' bound for diagonal Ramsey numbers is an example. Let k≥3k \ge 3 and n=⌊2k/2⌋n = \floor{2^{k/2}}, and colour each edge of the complete graph KnK_n red or blue independently with probability 1/21/2. The expected number of monochromatic copies of KkK_k is (nk)21−(k2)\binom{n}{k} 2^{1 - \binom{k}{2}}, and this is less than 11. So some colouring has no monochromatic KkK_k, and the Ramsey number satisfies R(k,k)>⌊2k/2⌋R(k, k) > \floor{2^{k/2}}. An argument that only shows that the event has probability at least 00 is not a proof by this method. Step 2 fails there, and an event of probability 00 may be empty. The method also applies to infinite probability spaces, with the same conclusion that an event of positive probability is nonempty.

Reading path

To understand this page from the ground up, read these 4 pages in order. The foundations come first.

Show the path as a graph
Each page uses the pages above it. The colour of the bar on a box shows how strong the evidence is, and the box also gives it as text. The list has the same pages.
  • no evidence level
  1. Event concept
  2. Expected value concept
  3. Probability space concept
  4. Probabilistic method definition

Further reading

  1. Web https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probabilistic_method
About this page
TagAVD8S4NW3B
URIm2://AVD8S4NW3B
Kinddefinition
WritingW0 stub
MSC05D40, 60C05
DefinesProbabilistic method
UsesProbability space, Event, Expected value
Changed2 November 2026

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