Math 2.0

definition

Mutual independence of events

Definition

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P) be a probability space, let II be an index set, and let Ai∈FA_i \in \mathcal{F} be an event for each i∈Ii \in I. The events (Ai)i∈I(A_i)_{i \in I} are mutually independent if for each finite nonempty subset J⊆IJ \subseteq I, P(⋂j∈JAj)=∏j∈JP(Aj).P\left(\bigcap_{j \in J} A_j\right) = \prod_{j \in J} P(A_j).

Remarks

For two events this is the independence of two events. For three events A,B,CA, B, C the definition asks for four equations: one for each of the pairs {A,B}\{A, B\}, {A,C}\{A, C\}, {B,C}\{B, C\} and one for the triple {A,B,C}\{A, B, C\}. Mutual independence implies pairwise independence. The converse is false: see pairwise independent events that are not mutually independent. If we replace some of the events AiA_i by their complements, the family stays mutually independent.

Explanations

L1 human

For many events, independence must hold for every group of them, not only for every pair. For three tosses of a fair coin, the events "toss kk gives heads" for k=1,2,3k = 1, 2, 3 are mutually independent, and all three happen with probability 1/81/8.

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Sources

  1. Web https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independence_(probability_theory), More than two events