Math 2.0

Probability theory and stochastic processes Proof

Proof of the addition rule for two events

Builds on Probability spaceEventSigma-algebraMonotonicity of probability

Proof

  1. Let (Ω,ℱ,P)(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P) be a probability space and let A,B∈ℱA, B \in \mathcal{F} be events.
  2. The sets A∪BA \cup B and A∩B=(Ac∪Bc)cA \cap B = (A^c \cup B^c)^c are in ℱ\mathcal{F}, because ℱ\mathcal{F} is a σ-algebra.
  3. We have A⊆A∪BA \subseteq A \cup B. By monotonicity of probability, P((A∪B)∖A)=P(A∪B)−P(A)P((A \cup B) \setminus A) = P(A \cup B) - P(A).
  4. A point of A∪BA \cup B that is not in AA lies in BB. So (A∪B)∖A=B∖A(A \cup B) \setminus A = B \setminus A.
  5. We have A∩B⊆BA \cap B \subseteq B. By monotonicity of probability again, P(B∖(A∩B))=P(B)−P(A∩B)P(B \setminus (A \cap B)) = P(B) - P(A \cap B).
  6. A point of BB lies outside A∩BA \cap B exactly when it lies outside AA. So B∖(A∩B)=B∖AB \setminus (A \cap B) = B \setminus A.
  7. By steps 3 to 6, both differences equal P(B∖A)P(B \setminus A). So P(A∪B)−P(A)=P(B)−P(A∩B)P(A \cup B) - P(A) = P(B) - P(A \cap B).
  8. Adding P(A)+P(A∩B)P(A) + P(A \cap B) to both sides gives P(A∪B)+P(A∩B)=P(A)+P(B)P(A \cup B) + P(A \cap B) = P(A) + P(B). Subtracting P(A∩B)P(A \cap B) from both sides gives the equivalent form.

Idea

The part of BB outside AA can be measured in two ways. It is what A∪BA \cup B adds to AA, and it is what remains of BB after removing A∩BA \cap B. Equating the two measurements gives the rule.

Reading path

To understand this page from the ground up, read these 54 pages in order. The foundations come first. The path takes the proofs Proof of the approximation property of the supremum, Proof of the probability of the complement, Proof that the reals form an ordered field, with the Cauchy sequence construction, Proof of the monotonicity of probability, Proof that the reals are Archimedean from the completeness axiom.

  1. Construction of the reals from Cauchy sequences concept
  2. Element definition
  3. Integers object
  4. Ordered field definition
  5. Proposition concept
  6. Random experiment concept
  7. Rational numbers object
  8. Real numbers object
  9. Set bounded above definition
  10. Set definition
  11. Ring of integers statement
  12. Archimedean ordered field definition
  13. Disjunction definition
  14. Implication definition
  15. Predicate definition
  16. The reals form a field statement
  17. Supremum definition
  18. Ordered pair definition
  19. Union definition
  20. Sample space definition
  21. The rationals form a field statement
  22. Universal quantifier definition
  23. Completeness axiom statement
  24. Cartesian product definition
  25. Subset definition
  26. The rationals form an ordered field statement
  27. Binary relation definition
  28. Universal set definition
  29. Order on the reals definition
  30. Power set definition
  31. Antisymmetric relation definition
  32. Reflexive relation definition
  33. Transitive relation definition
  34. Complement definition
  35. Interval definition
  36. Preorder definition
  37. Sigma-algebra definition
  38. Partial order definition
  39. Event definition
  40. Total order definition
  41. Probability axioms concept
  42. Probability measure definition
  43. Proof that the reals form an ordered field, with the Cauchy sequence construction proof
  44. Probability space definition
  45. The reals form an ordered field statement
  46. Proof of the approximation property of the supremum proof
  47. Approximation property of the supremum statement
  48. Proof that the reals are Archimedean from the completeness axiom proof
  49. The reals are Archimedean statement
  50. Proof of the probability of the complement proof
  51. Probability of the complement statement
  52. Proof of the monotonicity of probability proof
  53. Monotonicity of probability statement
  54. Proof of the addition rule for two events proof

Where this leads

1 page builds on this one.

Further reading

  1. Web https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_axioms, Elementary consequences
About this page
TagPQDC17AQHZ
URIm2://PQDC17AQHZ
Kindproof
WritingW0 stub
MSC60A05
ProvesAddition rule for two events
UsesProbability space, Event, Sigma-algebra, Monotonicity of probability
Changed4 November 2026

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