Math 2.0

Probability theory and stochastic processes Proof

Proof of Boole's inequality by disjoint pieces

Builds on Probability spaceProbability measureEventSigma-algebraMonotonicity of probabilityProbability of the complement

Proof

  1. Let (Ω,ℱ,P)(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P) be a probability space and let A1,A2,…A_1, A_2, \dots be events.
  2. If the family is finite, say A1,…,ANA_1, \dots, A_N, set Ai=∅A_i = \varnothing for i>Ni > N. This changes neither the union nor the sum, because P(∅)=1−P(Ω)=0P(\varnothing) = 1 - P(\Omega) = 0 by the complement rule. So we may assume an infinite sequence.
  3. Let C1=A1C_1 = A_1 and Cn=An∖(A1∪⋯∪An−1)C_n = A_n \setminus (A_1 \cup \dots \cup A_{n-1}) for n≥2n \ge 2. Each CnC_n is in ℱ\mathcal{F}, because ℱ\mathcal{F} is a σ-algebra.
  4. By construction Cn⊆AnC_n \subseteq A_n for each nn.
  5. The sets CnC_n are pairwise disjoint. Let m<nm < n. Then Cm⊆Am⊆A1∪⋯∪An−1C_m \subseteq A_m \subseteq A_1 \cup \dots \cup A_{n-1}, and CnC_n has no point in this union.
  6. We claim ⋃nCn=⋃nAn\bigcup_n C_n = \bigcup_n A_n. The inclusion ⊆\subseteq follows from step 4.
  7. For ⊇\supseteq, let ω∈⋃nAn\omega \in \bigcup_n A_n and let nn be the least index with ω∈An\omega \in A_n. Then ω∉A1∪⋯∪An−1\omega \notin A_1 \cup \dots \cup A_{n-1}, so ω∈Cn\omega \in C_n.
  8. By the countable additivity of the probability measure PP, P(⋃nAn)=P(⋃nCn)=∑nP(Cn)P\left(\bigcup_n A_n\right) = P\left(\bigcup_n C_n\right) = \sum_n P(C_n).
  9. By step 4 and monotonicity of probability, P(Cn)≤P(An)P(C_n) \le P(A_n) for each nn.
  10. So each partial sum satisfies ∑n=1NP(Cn)≤∑n=1NP(An)≤∑n=1∞P(An)\sum_{n=1}^{N} P(C_n) \le \sum_{n=1}^{N} P(A_n) \le \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} P(A_n). The last sum lies in [0,∞][0, \infty], because its terms are nonnegative.
  11. Letting N→∞N \to \infty in step 10 and using step 8 gives P(⋃nAn)≤∑nP(An)P\left(\bigcup_n A_n\right) \le \sum_n P(A_n).

Idea

Overlaps are what make the union smaller than the sum. Removing from each AnA_n the part already covered by earlier events gives disjoint pieces with the same union. Countable additivity applies to these pieces, and each piece is no more likely than the event it came from.

Reading path

To understand this page from the ground up, read these 54 pages in order. The foundations come first. The path takes the proofs Proof of the approximation property of the supremum, Proof of the probability of the complement, Proof that the reals form an ordered field, with the Cauchy sequence construction, Proof of the monotonicity of probability, Proof that the reals are Archimedean from the completeness axiom.

  1. Construction of the reals from Cauchy sequences concept
  2. Element definition
  3. Integers object
  4. Ordered field definition
  5. Proposition concept
  6. Random experiment concept
  7. Rational numbers object
  8. Real numbers object
  9. Set bounded above definition
  10. Set definition
  11. Ring of integers statement
  12. Archimedean ordered field definition
  13. Disjunction definition
  14. Implication definition
  15. Predicate definition
  16. The reals form a field statement
  17. Supremum definition
  18. Ordered pair definition
  19. Union definition
  20. Sample space definition
  21. The rationals form a field statement
  22. Universal quantifier definition
  23. Completeness axiom statement
  24. Cartesian product definition
  25. Subset definition
  26. The rationals form an ordered field statement
  27. Binary relation definition
  28. Universal set definition
  29. Order on the reals definition
  30. Power set definition
  31. Antisymmetric relation definition
  32. Reflexive relation definition
  33. Transitive relation definition
  34. Complement definition
  35. Interval definition
  36. Preorder definition
  37. Sigma-algebra definition
  38. Partial order definition
  39. Event definition
  40. Total order definition
  41. Probability axioms concept
  42. Probability measure definition
  43. Proof that the reals form an ordered field, with the Cauchy sequence construction proof
  44. Probability space definition
  45. The reals form an ordered field statement
  46. Proof of the approximation property of the supremum proof
  47. Approximation property of the supremum statement
  48. Proof that the reals are Archimedean from the completeness axiom proof
  49. The reals are Archimedean statement
  50. Proof of the probability of the complement proof
  51. Probability of the complement statement
  52. Proof of the monotonicity of probability proof
  53. Monotonicity of probability statement
  54. Proof of Boole's inequality by disjoint pieces proof

Where this leads

8 pages build on this one.

Further reading

  1. Web https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boole's_inequality, Proof without using induction
About this page
Tag7YPQB3YF9S
URIm2://7YPQB3YF9S
Kindproof
WritingW0 stub
MSC60E15
ProvesBoole's inequality
UsesProbability space, Probability measure, Event, Sigma-algebra, Monotonicity of probability, Probability of the complement
Changed4 November 2026

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