Probability theory and stochastic processes Proof
Proof of the expectation of a product of independent random variables by simple functions
Builds on Expected valueIndependence of two random variablesRandom variableFloor functionIntervalBorel sigma-algebraSimple functionIndicator functionIntegral of a non-negative functionMonotone convergence theoremLimit of a product of sequencesLinearity of expectation
Proof
We prove the formula for nonnegative parts by approximation with simple functions and monotone convergence, then combine the parts.
- Let and be independent integrable real random variables on a probability space .
- For a real number put and . Then and .
- For and let , where is the floor function.
- The function takes only the finitely many values with . It is nondecreasing, and .
- We have . Indeed is an integer at most , so it is at most .
- Dividing by gives . Since also , the minimum in step 3 does not decrease.
- We have . For we get , and this lies in .
- Let be one of the maps and from to . Each is monotone, so is monotone on .
- Hence for each the set is an interval or empty. If and the values at and equal , monotonicity forces the value at .
- Every interval is a Borel set. It is open or closed, or it is an open interval together with one closed endpoint.
- Let and be maps as in step 8, let and , and assume and . We show in steps 12 to 17.
- Let , with distinct values . By steps 9 and 10, with Borel sets . The are disjoint events covering .
- In the same way, has distinct values , taken on the disjoint events with Borel sets .
- So is a nonnegative simple function, written with pairwise disjoint sets and indicator functions.
- By the integral of a non-negative function for simple functions, . By independence, .
- So , again by the formula for simple functions.
- By steps 5 and 7, increases to and increases to . Products of nondecreasing nonnegative sequences are nondecreasing, so increases to .
- By the monotone convergence theorem, is measurable, and , and .
- The limits and are finite. By the limit of a product of sequences and step 16, . This proves the claim of step 11.
- Now , so every simple with also satisfies . By the supremum definition, .
- In the same way , and are finite, because and are integrable.
- For signs let . By steps 11 to 21, each is a nonnegative random variable with . So each is integrable.
- Expanding gives at every point of .
- By linearity of expectation, applied three times, is integrable and .
- By step 22, the right side is .
- This factors as . By the definition of expected value, it equals .
Idea
For simple random variables built from events of the form and , independence turns the expectation of the product into a double sum that factors. Every nonnegative random variable is an increasing limit of such simple ones, and monotone convergence carries the identity to the limit. Splitting and into positive and negative parts handles the general integrable case.
Reading path
To understand this page from the ground up, read these 90 pages in order. The foundations come first. The path takes the proofs Proof of the approximation property of the supremum, Proof that the reals form an ordered field, with the Cauchy sequence construction, Proof of the limit of a product of sequences, Proof that the absolute value is multiplicative, Proof of the triangle inequality for real numbers, Proof of the epsilon-N definition of the limit of a sequence, Proof that the reals are Archimedean from the completeness axiom, Proof that convergent sequences are bounded.
- Construction of the reals from Cauchy sequences concept
- Element definition
- Extended real number line object
- Integers object
- Integral of a non-negative function concept
- Measurable function concept
- Measure space concept
- Ordered field definition
- Proposition concept
- Random experiment concept
- Rational numbers object
- Real numbers object
- Sequence definition
- Set bounded above definition
- Simple function concept
- Set definition
- Ring of integers statement
- Monotone convergence theorem statement
- Archimedean ordered field definition
- Disjunction definition
- Implication definition
- Predicate definition
- The reals form a field statement
- Real sequence definition
- Supremum definition
- Ordered pair definition
- Union definition
- Sample space definition
- The rationals form a field statement
- Existential quantifier definition
- Universal quantifier definition
- Integral of a non-negative function definition
- Bounded sequence definition
- Limit of a sequence definition
- Completeness axiom statement
- Cartesian product definition
- Subset definition
- Uniqueness quantifier definition
- The rationals form an ordered field statement
- Convergent sequence definition
- Binary relation definition
- Universal set definition
- Power set definition
- Order on the reals definition
- Antisymmetric relation definition
- Reflexive relation definition
- Transitive relation definition
- Complement definition
- Function definition
- Interval definition
- Preorder definition
- Sigma-algebra definition
- Indicator function definition
- Preimage of a set definition
- Injective function definition
- Partial order definition
- Event definition
- Countable set definition
- Borel sigma-algebra definition
- Total order definition
- Probability axioms concept
- Probability measure definition
- Proof that the reals form an ordered field, with the Cauchy sequence construction proof
- Probability space definition
- The reals form an ordered field statement
- Conditional probability definition
- Absolute value definition
- Random variable definition
- Proof of the approximation property of the supremum proof
- Independence of two events definition
- Proof of the triangle inequality for real numbers proof
- Proof that the absolute value is multiplicative proof
- Discrete random variable definition
- Random variable with a density definition
- Proof of the epsilon-N definition of the limit of a sequence proof
- Approximation property of the supremum statement
- Independence of two random variables definition
- Triangle inequality statement
- Absolute value is multiplicative statement
- Expected value definition
- Epsilon-N definition of the limit of a sequence statement
- Proof that the reals are Archimedean from the completeness axiom proof
- Linearity of expectation statement
- Proof that convergent sequences are bounded proof
- The reals are Archimedean statement
- Floor function definition
- Convergent sequences are bounded statement
- Proof of the limit of a product of sequences proof
- Limit of a product of sequences statement
- Proof of the expectation of a product of independent random variables by simple functions proof
Where this leads
95 pages build on this one.
- Characteristic function of a sum of independent random variables
- Expectation of a product of independent random variables
- De Moivre–Laplace theorem
- Independent random variables are uncorrelated
- Method of moments
- Weak law of large numbers
- Uncorrelated random variables that are not independent
- Strong law of large numbers
- Chi-squared test
- Central limit theorem
- Maximum likelihood estimation
- Student's t-test
- Sample variance
- Confidence interval
- Coupon collector's problem
- Student's t-distribution
- Sum of independent normal random variables
- Cumulant generating function
- Sample mean
- Generating function of a sum of independent random variables
- Chi-squared distribution
- Variance of a sum of independent random variables
- Hoeffding's inequality
- Moment-generating function of a sum of independent random variables
- Sum of independent Poisson random variables
- Sample average approximation
- Efficiency of an estimator
- Poisson regression
- Ergodic decomposition
- Koksma–Hlawka inequality
- Hodges' superefficient estimator
- Consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator
- Asymptotic equipartition property
- Source–channel separation theorem
- M-estimator
- Score test
- Kingman's subadditive ergodic theorem
- McDiarmid's inequality
- Asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator
- Typical set
- F-distribution
- Edgeworth expansion
- Sample mean and sample covariance
- Proof of the product formula for the moment-generating function of a sum of independent random variables
- Whittle likelihood
- Proof of Hoeffding's inequality via Hoeffding's lemma and the Chernoff bound
- Logistic regression
- Azuma's inequality
- Erdős–Kac theorem
- Proof of the de Moivre–Laplace theorem from the central limit theorem
- Monte Carlo integration
- Breakdown point
- Delta method
- Noncentral chi-squared distribution
- Behrens–Fisher problem
- Kruskal–Wallis test
- Shannon–Hartley theorem
- Wishart distribution
- Proof of the sum of independent normal random variables by characteristic functions
- Proof of the central limit theorem by characteristic functions
- Empirical likelihood
- Bayesian information criterion
- Berry–Esseen theorem
- Cochran's theorem
- Jackknife
- Birkhoff's ergodic theorem
- Akaike information criterion
- Independence of sample mean and sample variance for normal samples
- Estimating equations
- Ideal chain
- Generalized method of moments
- Proof that independent random variables are uncorrelated
- Oseledets theorem
- Noisy-channel coding theorem
- Flory–Huggins solution theory
- Likelihood-ratio test
- Expectation–maximization algorithm
- Hotelling's T-squared distribution
- Kelly criterion
- Wald test
- Proof of the formula for the variance of a sum of independent random variables
- Generalized linear model
- Box–Jenkins method
- Pesin theory
- Reptation
- Binomial proportion confidence interval
- Neyman construction
- Wilks' theorem
- Proof of the weak law of large numbers by characteristic functions
- Monte Carlo methods in finance
- Proof of the product formula for the characteristic function of a sum of independent random variables
- Frequentist inference
- Worm-like chain
- Observed information
- Point estimation
Further reading
About this page
| Tag | EWGC40KS75 |
|---|---|
| URI | m2://EWGC40KS75 |
| Kind | proof |
| Writing | W0 stub |
| MSC | 60A05 |
| Proves | Expectation of a product of independent random variables |
| Uses | Expected value, Independence of two random variables, Random variable, Floor function, Interval, Borel sigma-algebra, Simple function, Indicator function, Integral of a non-negative function, Monotone convergence theorem, Limit of a product of sequences, Linearity of expectation |
| Changed | 4 November 2026 |
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